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P-E-2011-003-Siqi Zheng, Yingjie Zhang, Rui Wang,Does Better Subway Accessibility Discourage Driving? An Analysis Based on 2009 Micro Survey in Beijing.,16th International Symposium on “Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate”,2011

2015-07-09 20:27:23 作者:管理员

Abstract :Beijing is investing heavily in urban rail construction, but whether it can effectively reduce congestion and related air pollution is still an open question. An empirical challenge for testing this is the fact that residential location choice and transportation choice are jointly made by a household.  Using the micro data from a unique survey conducted in Beijing in 2009, we take advantage of the fanggai housing with pre-determined residential locations to address this endogeneity. Heckman twostage regression technique is also employed to control for possible self selection bias. We find that better subway accessibility reduces a typical resident’s probability of owning a car but does not affect the subsequent mileage driven. Such findings hold for the fanggai housing sample with endogenous residential location. Therefore, the development of urban rail in Beijing does discourage driving through reducing auto ownership and thus has positive congestionmitigating and environmental consequences.

Keywords:subway accessibility, car ownership, fanggai housing

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